Artifact Details

Title

Churchill Club | 17th Annual Top 10 Tech Trends

Catalog Number

102792525

Type

Moving image

Description

Speakers:
Bill Gurley, General Partner, Benchmark
Steve Jurvetson, Partner, DFJ
Jenny Lee, Managing Partner, GGV Capital
Rebecca Lynn, Co-founder & General Partner, Canvas Venture Fund
Shervin Pishevar, Managing Director, Sherpa Ventures
Masters of Ceremonies:
Rich Karlgaard, Publisher, Forbes Magazine
Bruce Upbin, Managing Editor, Forbes

What new trends will emerge in the next several years with the potential for explosive growth in about five years' time?

1. On-Demand Ambient Computing
On-Demand Ambient Computing driven by AI will usher in a world of invisible computing that will drive efficiencies across many industries. Growth will come from API's/algorithms across mobile platforms; AI will predict human intent and deliver items/information at the speed of human thought.
[Shervin Pishevar]

2. Traditional Banks Will Continue Losing Share to Startups while Bitcoin Fades in Relevance
Financial-services institutions will continue to be disintermediated, and will either act as the back-end infrastructure or co-exist as they do in the Lending Club model. Meanwhile, Bitcoin as a currency and remittance solution will lose steam.
[Rebecca Lynn]

3. The Virtual Me
Advances in hardware and sensors and the adoption of connected devices will create an explosion of personal data in the next 5 years. With increased data processing capabilities and smarter predictive software, all this data will be aggregated into personal digital profiles – the virtual you – which will know even more about you than you do.
[Jenny Lee]

4. The Skynet Economy: broadband access for the unconnected billions
From thousands of satellites orbiting around the poles, and new airborne transponders, the entire Earth will be bathed in broadband, bringing an unprecedented influx of human talent to the global economy.
[Steve Jurvetson]

5. The End of the Auto Nation
For the better part of a century, the United States has designed its cities around the notion of individual car ownership. This has resulted in massive waste, congestion, pollution, long commute times, remarkably underutilized capital assets, and over 30,000 deaths per year. Suburban sprawl reached its ultimate limit, and the trends are all rebounding around a new urbanization.
[Bill Gurley]

6. 5th Mode of Transportation
5th Mode of Transportation will be unlocked in the next 5 years. Technologies like Hyperloop will skip over 19th and 20th century transportation modes and do what wireless mobile communication did to fixed line telecommunications in places like Africa.
[Shervin Pishevar]

7. Reemergence of Women in Tech
In the next 5 years, 50% of computer-science students will be women – surpassing the previous high set in 1984. This means you’ll increasingly see more female technology startup founders and Fortune-500 CEOs.
[Rebecca Lynn]

8. The Economy of Me
By 2020, mobile will bring the next 2 billion people online and make the online economy more powerful than the offline. This shift will breed decentralized business models. Commerce and services will skip the middle man and revolve around the individual consumer. Welcome to the personal economy.
[Jenny Lee]

9. Rise of the Robocars: Driven by a Machine
By 2020 we will no longer debate the inevitability of autonomous electric vehicles when we first experience the convenience and efficiency of urban autonomous driving services.
[Steve Jurvetson]

10. The Native Mobile Application Platform Dominates the “Mobile Web”
Consumers drastically prefer mobile applications to the mobile web because they are WAY better. The majority of incremental Internet users will be exclusively on smartphones. The aging search/browser platform will be stifled as a fertile ground for new innovation.
[Bill Gurley]

Date

2015-05-21

Participants

Gurley, Bill, Speaker
Jurvetson, Steve, Speaker
Karlgaard, Rich, Moderator
Lee, Jenny, Speaker
Lynn, Rebecca, Speaker
Pishevar, Shervin, Speaker
Upbin, Bruce, Moderator

Publisher

Computer History Museum

Place of Publication

Palo Alto, CA

Duration

01:50:21

Format

MP4

Category

Talk

Collection Title

Churchill Club

Credit

Gift of the Churchill Club

Lot Number

X9335.2021